Joseph Bou-Younes's Website

  • About
  • Jevon’s Paradox and AI

    Jevons paradox is coming to knowledge work. By making it far cheaper to take on any type of task that we can possibly imagine, we’re ultimately going to be doing far more. The vast majority of AI tokens in the future will be used on things we don’t even do today as workers: they will be used on the software projects that wouldn’t have been started, the contracts that wouldn’t have been reviewed, the medical research that wouldn’t have been discovered, and the marketing campaign that wouldn’t have been launched otherwise.

    — Aaron Levie, Jevons Paradox for Knowledge Work

    Via Simon Willison’s Webblog.

    December 29, 2025
    ai, career, complements, inference, jevons-paradox
  • The math behind an LLM

    The best, shortest and sweetest explanation of how an LLM works.

    December 21, 2025
    ai, LLM, math
  • Be YouTube, not Qwest

    Today, no amount of model training is too much. No price for that training is too high. The builders bet is that inference will be orders of magnitude cheaper in 5 years. Build for that. Be Netflix or YouTube, not Qwest.

    This year, American tech companies will spend $300 billion to $400 billion on artificial intelligence, which is in nominal dollars more than any group of companies have ever spent to do anything. Notably, these companies are not remotely close to earning $400 billion on artificial intelligence.

    That’s why you’re starting to hear some people wonder whether the AI build-out is turning into the mother of all economic bubbles.

    The prospect of an AI bubble should scare us. Roughly half of last quarter’s GDP growth came from infrastructure spending on AI, and more than half of stock market appreciation in the last few years has come from companies associated with AI. If the AI spending project blows up in the next few years, as our next guest says it might, the implications for technology, the economy, and politics would be immense.

    – This Is How the AI Bubble Could Burst – Plain English with Derek Thompson

    October 5, 2025
    ai, business model, digital products, LLM, product management
  • Friction, difficulty and independence

    I think about this a lot with my own kids: making sure they have the right amount of friction in there lives, having time and space to be bored, and to even get into low-grade trouble.

    School hasn’t been a problem so far (acknowledging my privilege); they get challenge from other places. This piece is a good reminder of how difficulty – and potential boredom – are important parts of growing up.

    My Job as a Parent Is to Make My Kids’ Lives a Little Harder
    September 1, 2025
    parenting, screens
  • Banks are slow-rolling open banking to protect payments revenue 🤯

    Financial institutions offer their customers a complex bundle of services.

    You might reasonably expect that Open Banking is a fight over the budgeting app space. The banks have, via the magic of account records, a large portion of the underlying data about a household’s finances. You could imagine software using Open Banking to allow it to slurp in transactions and then categorize them. That would compete against the lackluster offerings the large banks have in their apps.

    But Open Banking is not actually a fight over budgeting apps. Banks don’t make money on them and the best known standalone budgeting app, Mint, was acquired for a relatively small amount of money.

    Payments, on the other hand, are an enormous business. They are monetized both by banks and by a diverse ecosystem of fintech providers.

    The data banks find it annoying to make Open are, principally, account numbers. This is because, due to the long shadow of checks, possession of an account number (plus the routing number, identifying the bank) is sufficient to attempt to debit a bank account. Direct account-to-account transfers, including “pulls”, are a common payment method in many countries, but they are not a large share of consumer to business payments in the United States.

    Why not? One reason is that the user experience of asking someone for their account number is pretty awful. There is no way to check in real time whether an account actually exists. Credit card numbers, in addition to having infrastructure which allows you to query them in real time, are specifically formatted so that typos in them are easily catchable.

    Since you can’t know whether the account exists you certainly can’t know its current balance or whether a transaction posted against it today will succeed in a few days or be reversed for insufficient funds (or another reason). This means that businesses which use account transfers as a payment method would frequently suffer credit losses if they released goods or services at the time of “payment.” For many businesses, that isn’t a worthwhile tradeoff.

    So they keep using cards. Cards give much stronger (but not foolproof) real-time guarantees of funds availability and likelihood of a transaction going through successfully. The ergonomics of card acceptance, at the register, through your phone, or in a web browser, are also much more palatable to most customers.

    Several fintech companies, including Stripe, realized that they could use Open Banking to make account-to-account payments something customers would actually enjoy. The user is prompted at checkout whether they’d like to pay directly from their bank account. They log into their bank account and grants the fintech read access. This is a much stronger signal of authorization than simply knowing an account number. (We print those on every check, after all, and a check is designed to be handed to a cashier or waiter you’ll never meet again.) The fintech then grabs the account number and perhaps e.g. looks up the current balance.

    Then, they can pull money from the account, through an ACH debit.

    The ACH debit itself is not Open Banking. It is the ordinary operation of existing payment rails in the financial system. The ACH debit was just made much more convenient by Open Banking.

    Open banking and payments competition, Bits about Money

    August 25, 2025
    canpol, canpoli, fintech, open banking, payments
  • About Fox One

    News is very ideological. If you’re a diehard Fox News fan and that’s all you watch, and you don’t want your money going to CNN or MSNBC, you can take your bill down from $100 to $20

    So Fox One isn’t so much about helping Fox as it is about crippling CNN

    August 23, 2025
    subscriptions, uspoli
  • Where are the customers’ yachts?

    The steady evolution of private equity into yet another set of high fee products for dentists and widows continues.

    Equity values are fleeting; fees are forever.

    August 12, 2025
    finance, investing, privateequity
  • Who’s gonna tell em?

    The Westons imposed a strict architectural style that they called “Anglo-Caribbean,” dictating everything from rooflines to paint colors — neutral tones only.

    Canadians Furious About Trump Flee Their Private Florida Community

    August 12, 2025
    canada, canpol, canpoli
  • If you don’t know how to train models and you work in an AI startup the expected value of your equity is 0

    It seems anti-capitalist for a hyperscaler and the biggest guys on the cap table to collude to hire key talent, to license IP and then to leave everyone else holding equity in a worthless company. Bravo?

    Cognition AI to buy Windsurf, doubling down on AI-driven coding

    Zuckerberg’s Meta Superintelligence Labs poaches top AI talent

    July 16, 2025
    alphabet, ChatGPT, google, LLM, meta, OpenAI, scaleai
  • But who will build the applications?

    If this is to be believed, $META is inhaling talent and focusing them narrowly on training The Best foundational model.

    Which begs the question: who’s building the apps? Is the bet that direct interaction with the model will do everything?

    Meta Superintelligence – Leadership Compute, Talent, and Data

    July 14, 2025
    genai, llama, LLM, meta, product management, windsurf
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Joseph Bou-Younes's Website

Joseph Bou-Younes's Website

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